Oil in the 30s: Merry Christmas

Andy Spero | December 18, 2008 | 0 Comment(s) |

Back on May Day, when oil was about $120 per barrel, we speculated in Commodity Bubbles? Yeah, Probably, that the price could be $40 per barrel by year end.  (We weren’t very specific about which kind of oil and when it was to be delivered, but such is life.)

We don’t keep track of all of our predictions–only the ones where we turned out to be right.  For those, we continue our streak of being 100% correct, and we’ll continue to occasionally highlight them in posts.

On October 31, in… Read the rest

OMG, Mr. Paulson Agreed with Us Twice in One Week!

Andy Spero | November 19, 2008 | 0 Comment(s) |

Update (01-20-09): now that Mr. Paulson’s term as Treasury Secretary has ended, we must admit that the small bit of optimism we exhibited in this post was sadly and unfortunately misplaced.  It was out-of-character for us, but we’re a hopeful pesimist.  He quickly reverted to his behavior of September and October, and for that, the markets, the nation, and the world have and will continue to suffer.

We hope that his earlier actions haven’t caused irreparable damage, but we’re doubtful.

This is a longish post that covers several aspects of theRead the rest