Archive for December, 2008

New Translation Feature

Andy Spero | December 31, 2008 | 0 Comment(s) |

We’re trying to shed our ethnocentrism, and as a nod to our global readership, we’ve added a translation feature to the right.

Let us know how well it works–especially our good friends in Kiev and London.

Not sure if it is as cool as our visitor map. If not, it is a very close second.

So, in 35 languages, we wish all of our clients and readers a happy, healthy, and prosperous 2009.

What a Civilized Country!

Andy Spero | December 27, 2008 | 0 Comment(s) |

Approximately ten days ago, after his release from jail, we caught a brief glimpse of Bernie Madoff on the television news. 

He was walking along the sidewalks of New York, presumably near his apartment, and he was surrounded by a swarm of news reporters and cameramen.

It seemed that someone accosted him–pushed him–but the episode didn’t last very long.  We didn’t think much of it at the time and figured that it was a disgruntled neighbor who was also an investor in Mr. Madoff’s funds who had happened upon him… Read the rest

Our Christmas Wish

Andy Spero | December 24, 2008 | 0 Comment(s) |

One of them, at least.

Update: We’ve added an excellent line from Peggy Noonan’s December 26th, weekly column, as it fits so perfectly with our theme.

We spent a recent noon-time distributing year-end, holiday, bonus checks to a group of care-givers and their managers. 

It was very gratifying, especially since it wasn’t our money.  We’re joking, of course.  It would likely have been more gratifying had been our money, but while the lunch was for a small organization, it’s not that small.

Now, we know that it is quite easy… Read the rest

Our Solution to Federal Government Bureaucracy

Andy Spero | December 24, 2008 | 0 Comment(s) |

Higher Pay for Congressmen and Greatly Reduced Staff Staph Levels

This past weekend–the last before Christmas–we saw a few reports criticizing the upcoming Congressional pay raises, including this one at FoxNews: Pay Raises for Lawmakers Anger Watchdog Groups.

In that article, someone from a watchdog group noted that “Members of Congress don’t deserve one additional dime of taxpayer money…”

We’ll leave the issue of what Congressfolk deserve to others, including their maker.  Our standard response when folks complain about the weather in Western PA–we think the sun appeared… Read the rest

Williams-Sonoma, KitchenAid, and Falling Copper Prices

Andy Spero | December 24, 2008 | 0 Comment(s) |

We were at Williams-Sonoma this past weekend and saw a beautiful copper, KitchenAid mixer for $899.95.  (Its twin is made of nickel, and we have no idea of how prices of that metal have changed, but we doubt that they have gone up since the summer.)

The nearly $900 seemed a bit expensive for a mixer; so, we joked with the clerk that KitchenAid must have bought their copper supply much earlier in the year when prices were three times as high and that it must be still trying to recoup its… Read the rest

Marking Debt to "Market" or Addition Through Subtraction

Andy Spero | December 19, 2008 | 0 Comment(s) |

It Doesn’t Add Up.

According to The Wall Street Journal, today S&P Cut Ratings on 11 Banks.

Depending upon each institution’s accounting policies, individuals at those firms may have cheered their firm’s respective downgrade because that action may have reduce the value of the firm’s outstanding debt thereby allowing the firm to recognize an unrealized gain on its income statement.  (Yeah, it is perverse and stupid.)

For example, by combining the contents of this article about Morgan Stanley’s fourth quarter earnings and page two of this report, it seems that Morgan… Read the rest

Our Prediction: Plummeting Donations to Universities

Andy Spero | December 18, 2008 | 0 Comment(s) |

We have two other posts today, Oil in the 30s: Merry Christmas, in which we opportunistically crow about our prowess at predicting oil prices, and The Harvard-Yale-CALPERS Cycling Club, in which we lament the lack of imagination among fund managers and the enormous harm caused by inexperience or ineptitude (got to throw-in the personal and institutional greed, too).  We do that via an analogy.

Now, this post extends both of those because, here, we make a… Read the rest

The Harvard-Yale-CALPERS Cycling Club

Andy Spero | December 18, 2008 | 0 Comment(s) |

My fickle friend, the summer wind.

A few weeks ago, Harvard announced that its endowment fund lost about $8,000,000,000 (since July 1).

This week, Yale announced that its endowment was down about 25% for the year.  That’s about $5,900,000,000.  (Their fiscal year started July 1.)

Likewise, according to yesterday’s Wall Street Journal, CALPERS, the California Public Employees’ Retirement System, has lost about one-quarter of its assets since July 1.  That’s almost $60,000,000,000. Poof!  To put it into perspective; that is A LOT of money.

On their housing investment, CALPERS… Read the rest

Oil in the 30s: Merry Christmas

Andy Spero | December 18, 2008 | 0 Comment(s) |

Back on May Day, when oil was about $120 per barrel, we speculated in Commodity Bubbles? Yeah, Probably, that the price could be $40 per barrel by year end.  (We weren’t very specific about which kind of oil and when it was to be delivered, but such is life.)

We don’t keep track of all of our predictions–only the ones where we turned out to be right.  For those, we continue our streak of being 100% correct, and we’ll continue to occasionally highlight them in posts.

On October 31, in… Read the rest

Cassandra, the SEC and Mr. Madoff

Andy Spero | December 18, 2008 | 0 Comment(s) |

We very much like the ancient Greek story of Cassandra, and one could well imagine that for almost ten years, Harry Markopolos felt like a modern-day Cassandra.

We don’t know enough about Mr. Markopolos to know whether he wrote letters to the SEC about hundreds of other fund managers claiming that they also ran Ponzi schemes or were part of the conspiracy to assassinate President Kennedy, were adducted by UFOs, or provided FDR with advanced knowledge of the bombing of Pearl Harbor or some combination of the four.  If so, then it is quite… Read the rest